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HIV ESTIMATES

TRAINING MATERIALS

HIV ESTIMATES

TRAINING MATERIALS

IDTitleDescriptionEpidemic and Data TypeModeling and Data ToolsStep in processDate Last ModifiedFile SizeLinkhf:tax:doc_id_numberhf:tax:doc_epidemic_and_data_typehf:tax:doc_modeling_and_data_toolshf:tax:doc_training_type
54Installing Java if using EPPHow to install Java, which is required if using EPPAllAllf_Additional helpAugust 31, 20215 MB54allallf_additional-help
40GUnder the hood: EPP generalizedProvides the concept behind the EPP model and explains in detail how EPP produces incidence trends estimates from multiple prevalence data sources.GeneralizedEPP gene_In-depth model explanationAugust 31, 202173 MB40ggeneralizedepp_gene_in-depth-model-explanation
40CUnder the hood: EPP (Concentrated)For concentrated epidemics: A deep dive to understanding the EPP moduleConcentrated-Using case surveillance dataEPP conce_In-depth model explanationAugust 31, 202175 MB40cconcentrated_using_case_surveillance_dataepp_conce_in-depth-model-explanation
40AUnder the hood: AEMFor concentrated epidemics: A deep dive to understanding the AEM moduleConcentrated-Using key population survey dataAEM (Asian Epidemic Model)e_In-depth model explanationAugust 31, 20212 MB40aconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataaem_asian_epidemic_modele_in-depth-model-explanation
40SUnder the hood: CSAVRA deep dive to understanding the CSAVR moduleConcentrated-Using key population survey dataCSAVRe_In-depth model explanationAugust 31, 202146 MB40sconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_datacsavre_in-depth-model-explanation
52GHow to import the estimates into the PEPFAR datapackProvides information on how to transfer data from Spectrum to the US Government DatapackGeneralizedData Packf_Additional helpAugust 31, 202144 MB52ggeneralizeddata_packf_additional-help
31Using modelled resultsExplains how to make sense of and share the results with relevant stakeholders in your country to critically review national and subnational level program outcomes and set strategic goals and improve the program and disease outcomes.AllAlld_Using the estimatesAugust 31, 202128 MB31allalld_using-the-estimates
50SCause of death Sankey diagram toolA tool that assists country teams to visualise cause of death reallocation by sex, 5 year age group, and calendar year.AllAllf_Additional helpAugust 31, 20211 MB50sallallf_additional-help
76Guide 6, Data Quality Standards of PracticeLeading practices for HIV data quality and provides standards countries may use to assemble the highest possible quality of programme data for their HIV estimates.AllAllg_User guideAugust 31, 2021385 KB76allallg_user_guide
74Guide 4, Preparing Naomi data inputsGuide to preparing Naomi data inputsGeneralizedNaomig_User guideAugust 31, 20213 MB74generalizednaomig_user_guide
78Guide 8, Data quality, Indicator Element matrixLeading practices for HIV data quality. Provides details of key indicators and where they are capturedAllAllg_User guideAugust 31, 202123 KB78allallg_user_guide
77Guide 7, Data quality, Draft terms of reference for national estimates teamsLeading practices for HIV data quality. Provides an example of a terms of reference that could be used/modified by country HIV estimates teams.AllAllg_User guideSeptember 13, 202124 KB77allallg_user_guide
01Introduction to the HIV estimates processProvides an overview of the HIV estimates process from why UNAIDS supports the country teams to produce estimates to what the indicators are to who will be involved in the process and how and when the estimates are done and due.AllAlla_OverviewDecember 01, 202113 MB01allalla_overview
11Introduction to Spectrum on the webIntroduction to the web version of Spectrum and how to navigate and use it. AllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)b_Data preparationDecember 01, 202135 MB11allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelb_data-preparation
41Under the hood: SpectrumA deep dive to understanding SpectrumAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)e_In-depth model explanationDecember 01, 202134 MB41allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modele_in-depth-model-explanation
32PMTCT stacked barProvides a summary of how to use the PMTCT stacked bar produced in Spectrum to inform your country’s PMTCT strategy and program management.AllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)d_Using the estimatesDecember 01, 202127 MB32allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modeld_using-the-estimates
53SImporting ECDC or Direct incidence and Uncertainty AnalysisDescribes how to import externally produced country estimates of HIV incidence, specifically a projection of incidence produced using the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) HIV Modelling Tool, or from another model, which can be incorporated using the ‘Direct incidence input’.Concentrated-Using key population survey dataCSAVRf_Additional helpDecember 01, 20211 MB53sconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_datacsavrf_additional-help
56VMMC Data Preparation and UploadA description of how to update data for use in the Avenir district male circumcision modelGeneralizedc_Updating data and model estimatesJanuary 06, 2022730 KB56generalizedc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
12GHow to use the AIDS Data RepositoryProvides the rational for the AIDS Data repository and advantages of using it to help manage the development of subnational estimatesGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationJanuary 11, 20233 MB12ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
33Understanding the HIV testing and treatment cascadeProvides an overview of the 95-95-95 targets and HIV testing and treatment cascade.AllAlld_Using the estimatesJanuary 11, 202311 MB33allalld_using-the-estimates
10GData required for the estimates: generalizedAn overview of the process for generalized epidemic countries and what input data is needed to prepare for the estimatesGeneralizedAllb_Data preparationMarch 28, 2023685 KB10ggeneralizedallb_data-preparation
34Spectrum Viewing ResultsTakes you through the process of how to view different Spectrum resultsAllAlld_Using the estimatesMay 04, 2023503 KB34allalld_using-the-estimates
55Aligning Spectrum Estimates with GAM reportingProvides an overview of the alignment between HIV estimation processes using Spectrum and the GAM reportingAllAllf_Additional helpMay 04, 2023436 KB55allallf_additional-help
21Basic steps to update program dataExplains the basic steps to update your program data including PMTCT, ANC, HIV testing and ARTAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesOctober 13, 20231 MB21allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
24Estimating incidence by age and sexExplains the basic steps to update your sex/age pattern, and how Spectrum’s age pattern in incidence influences indicator resultsAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesOctober 13, 2023367 KB24allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
25Spectrum Advanced OptionsExplains the steps to navigate through Spectrum advanced optionsAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesOctober 13, 20231 MB25allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
10CKey population data: HIV prevalence, Group Size, ARTAn overview of the key population input data is needed to prepare for the estimatesConcentrated-Using key population survey dataEPP concb_Data preparationOctober 13, 20232 MB10cconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataepp_concb_data-preparation
26Fertility, prevalence in pregnant women in Antenatal Care, PMTCT and pediatric ART coverageExplains the steps to make adjustments to HIV-related fertility reductions and ensuring ANC data quality, AllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesOctober 13, 2023276 KB26allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
80GRegistering and joining an organisation – The AIDS Data RepositoryExplains the basic steps to register or join an organization in ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 20234 MB80ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
81GConfiguring a DHIS2 Source – The AIDS Data RepositoryExplains the basic steps to configure a DHIS2 source in ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 202335 MB81ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
82GEditing your data – The AIDS Data RepositoryProvides some guidance on how to edit data within ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 20238 MB82ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
83GPulling data from DHIS2 – The AIDS Data RepositoryExplains the basic steps on how to pull data from DHIS2 into ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 20238 MB83ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
84GSharing data – The AIDS Data RepositoryProvides an overview on how to share data in ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 20237 MB84ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
85GValidating your data – The AIDS Data RepositoryProvides an overview on data validation in ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 202310 MB85ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
86GVersioning your data – The AIDS Data RepositoryProvides an overview on versioning your data in ADRGeneralizedADRb_Data preparationOctober 17, 202314 MB86ggeneralizedadrb_data-preparation
22STriangulate and select between CSAVR with EPP_Requirements for publishing an incidence trendExplains the considerations for selecting and reconciling data from different sources, namely CSAVR and EPP, to meet the requirements for publishing an incidence trend.Concentrated-Using case surveillance dataCSAVRe_In-depth model explanationOctober 27, 2023566 KB22sconcentrated_using_case_surveillance_datacsavre_in-depth-model-explanation
57Impact of stigma and discrimination, unequal gender norms and policies on the HIV epidemic and responseProvides additional context to understand the impact of stigma and discrimination, unequal gender norms and policies on the HIV epidemic and responseAllAllf_Additional helpOctober 27, 20231 MB57allallf_additional-help
91Fast-Track CitiesGuidance on the development of city-level HIV estimatesAllAllg_User guideDecember 14, 2023850 KB91allallg_user_guide
06Overview of child model in SpectrumProvides an overview of how the child model operates within SpectrumAllAlla_OverviewJanuary 18, 2024543 KB06allalla_overview
75Guide 5, Naomi quick startInstructions for using the Naomi modelGeneralizedNaomig_User guideJanuary 29, 20242 MB75generalizednaomig_user_guide
09Program and surveillance data collation & data quality reviewProvides an overview of program and surveillance data needs, and quality review using the AIDS Impact Module in Spectrum for concentrated HIV epidemic settingsConcentrated-Using case surveillance data, Concentrated-Using key population survey dataCSAVR, EPP conc, Spectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)b_Data preparationFebruary 06, 20242 MB09concentrated_using_case_surveillance_data concentrated_using_key_population_survey_datacsavr epp_conc spectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelb_data-preparation
21BAEM brief update for 2024Provides a brief a brief update on AEM & ​issues to watch for​Concentrated-Using key population survey dataAEM (Asian Epidemic Model), EPP concc_Updating data and model estimatesFebruary 06, 2024798 KB21bconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataaem_asian_epidemic_model epp_concc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
14CKey Populations workbook for concentrated epidemicsProvides an overview of the updated excel workbook about Key Populations, for Concentrated Epidemic countries to use alongside Spectrum 2024 HIV estimatesConcentrated-Using case surveillance data, Concentrated-Using key population survey dataCSAVR, EPP conc, Spectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesFebruary 20, 20241,011 KB14cconcentrated_using_case_surveillance_data concentrated_using_key_population_survey_datacsavr epp_conc spectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
15ReadMe KP Goals WorkbookReadme instruction to review and update the Excel workbook about Key Population data and 2023-round Goals calibration, in the context of 2024-round HIV estimatesConcentrated-Using case surveillance data, Concentrated-Using key population survey dataEPP conc, Spectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesFebruary 20, 202426 KB15concentrated_using_case_surveillance_data concentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataepp_conc spectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
90Subnational HIV Estimates in Priority PopulationsTo identify the places and populations at highest risk of HIV, in order to strengthen plans for differentiated HIV prevention. (Tool, User guide and methods)GeneralizedAllg_User guideFebruary 29, 202484 MB90generalizedallg_user_guide
92ART 2024 DQA technical updateThis technical brief summarizes key updates to the 2018 Data quality assessment of national and partner HIV treatment and patient monitoring data and systems implementation tool focusing on implementing and following up remedial activities after such assessments and guidance on developing data quality improvement strategies. It is intended that this technical update is used alongside the 2018 implementation tool to support country implementation of data quality assessments.AllAllb_Data preparation, f_Additional help, g_User guideApril 25, 2024406 KB92allallb_data-preparation f_additional-help g_user_guide
93VL DQA 2024 technical updateThis technical update of the 2020 viral load data quality module provides further guidance on the recommended data quality assurance activities, updated web annexes to support country implementation, and generic budgets for viral load testing data quality monitoring activities. These are part of ongoing efforts to standardize approaches to ensure that accurate and timely HIV viral load testing data and results are available for both clinical use and to strengthen programme monitoring. This aligns with recommendations outlined in the 2022 WHO Consolidated guidelines on person-centred HIV strategic information on data quality assessment and improvement.AllAllb_Data preparation, f_Additional help, g_User guideApril 25, 2024264 KB93allallb_data-preparation f_additional-help g_user_guide
22aNaomi sub-national estimates: Data review function in NaomiThe data review function in Naomi allows users to examine input data for possible inconsistenciesGeneralizedNaomib_Data preparationNovember 27, 20246 MB22ageneralizednaomib_data-preparation
72Guide 2, Spectrum basic steps 2025Basic steps to use Spectrum and generate national HIV estimatesAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)g_User guideJanuary 06, 202566 KB72allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelg_user_guide
71Guide 1, What’s new in Spectrum 2025Key changes in Spectrum to generate 2025 estimatesAllAllg_User guideJanuary 06, 202537 KB71allallg_user_guide
73Guide 3, Updating Spectrum HIV estimates 2025Guide for updating Spectrum HIV estimatesAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)g_User guideJanuary 08, 202510 MB73allspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelg_user_guide
04GIntroduction to 2025 estimates for generalized epidemicsAn introduction to the estimates process and an overview of the available tools and resource materialsGeneralizedAlla_OverviewJanuary 19, 2025982 KB04ggeneralizedalla_overview
20GGetting Started-with-Spectrum, GeneralizedExplains the basic steps to update your Spectrum/AIM file for the 2025 estimates roundGeneralizedSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesJanuary 21, 20252 MB20ggeneralizedspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
22GNaomi sub-national estimates: Creating subnational HIV estimatesOverview of Naomi and the basic steps to update the model to produce sub-national estimates.GeneralizedNaomic_Updating data and model estimatesJanuary 23, 20252 MB22ggeneralizednaomic_updating-data-and-model-estimates
14GKey Population Workbook for Generalized epidemicsExplains the reason for the KP workbook and the process for completing the workbookAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)b_Data preparationJanuary 23, 20251 MB14gallspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelb_data-preparation
79Guide 9. 2025 Key Populations Workbook GuidanceExplanation of how to complete the key population workbook and how to attach to SpectrumGeneralizedSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)g_User guideJanuary 23, 20251 MB79generalizedspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelg_user_guide
17Naomi: Sub-National data reviewGuides users on how to review their subnational dataGeneralizedNaomib_Data preparationJanuary 23, 20256 MB17generalizednaomib_data-preparation
19Naomi: Methods overviewA deep dive to understand the methods behind the creation of subnational estimates using the Naomi modelGeneralizedNaomie_In-depth model explanationJanuary 23, 202510 MB19generalizednaomie_in-depth-model-explanation
18Naomi : Generating subnational estimatesOverview of the subnational model and guidance on how to generate subnational estimatesGeneralizedNaomic_Updating data and model estimatesJanuary 23, 20252 MB18generalizednaomic_updating-data-and-model-estimates
51CChecking Population Size Estimates for Key PopulationsProvides an overview of the importance of consistent use of the population size estimates of key populations for concentrated epidemic countries.Concentrated-Using key population survey dataEPP concf_Additional helpFebruary 26, 20252 MB51cconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataepp_concf_additional-help
03What’s new for 2025Provides key updates and changes to the Spectrum (& web), AIM, EPP and CSAVR & Naomi) models and how they might affect this year’s results. AllAEM (Asian Epidemic Model), CSAVR, EPP conc, Spectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)a_OverviewMarch 17, 20252 MB03allaem_asian_epidemic_model csavr epp_conc spectrums_aim_aids_impact_modela_overview
02Models and tools used to generate estimatesBasic overview of the mathematical models used to generate HIV estimates AllAlla_OverviewMarch 17, 2025993 KB02allalla_overview
21ABasic steps to update AEMExplains the basic steps to update your AEM data and run the projectionConcentrated-Using key population survey dataAEM (Asian Epidemic Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 17, 20253 MB21aconcentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataaem_asian_epidemic_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
60Goals Model: Producing ScenariosThis document provides step-by-step instructions to use the Goals RSM model with a sample projection file to explore several historical and future scenarios. AllAllf_Additional helpMarch 18, 202544 KB60allallf_additional-help
25GEstimating HIV Incidence by Age and SexProvides guidance on calibrating and validating HIV incidence by age and sex to ensure accurate and reliable epidemiological insightsAllSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 2025705 KB25gallspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
20CGetting Started-with-Spectrum, ConcentratedExplains the basic steps to update your Spectrum/AIM file for the 2025 estimates roundConcentrated-Using case surveillance data, Concentrated-Using key population survey dataSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 20253 MB20cconcentrated_using_case_surveillance_data concentrated_using_key_population_survey_dataspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
24CCurve fitting in EPP and CSAVRDescribes each of the steps needed to update your EPP projections from last year with new population, turnover, surveillance and survey data and then refit your projections.Concentrated-Using case surveillance data, Concentrated-Using key population survey dataCSAVR, EPP concc_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 20253 MB24cconcentrated_using_case_surveillance_data concentrated_using_key_population_survey_datacsavr epp_concc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
23GGenerating knowledge of HIV status estimates with Shiny 90 ModelProvides the information on the motivation and concept behind the tool as well as the steps to use it to produce an estimate of knowledge of HIV status for generalized epidemic countries.GeneralizedShiny 90c_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 20255 MB23ggeneralizedshiny_90c_updating-data-and-model-estimates
30Results, Uncertainty, Checklist function, Validation and other Spectrum toolsTakes you through the ‘results’ section of Spectrum to understand them, validate them and how to run uncertainty analysis to further scrutinize your results.AllAllh_Updating and validating estimatesMarch 19, 2025915 KB30allallh_updating-and-validating-estimates
58Validating Spectrum estimates against programme dataProvides guidance on validating Spectrum estimates against programme dataAll, Concentrated-Using key population survey data, GeneralizedSpectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)f_Additional helpMarch 19, 2025456 KB58all concentrated_using_key_population_survey_data generalizedspectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelf_additional-help
21GBasic steps to update EPP generalized – 2025Explains the steps to update your EPP projections for generalized epidemic countries and how it fits in with and used by Spectrum.GeneralizedEPP genc_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 20254 MB21ggeneralizedepp_genc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
21CSurveillanceData CSAVR+EPPExplains the basic steps to update your EPP projections (for concentrated epidemics)Concentrated-Using case surveillance dataEPP concc_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 20252 MB21cconcentrated_using_case_surveillance_dataepp_concc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
35ANC routine testing data to fit fertility and prevalence in pregnant women, PMTCT, children living with HIV and pediatric ART coverageProvides guidance on the role of ANC HIV testing data in the generation of different Spectrum HIV estimatesAllAllc_Updating data and model estimatesMarch 19, 20252 MB35allallc_updating-data-and-model-estimates
94Advanced HIV Disease population prevalence & Cryptococcal Meningitis infection, cases and deathsProvides guidance to understand the effect of advanced HIV disease population prevalence and Cryptococcal Meningitis infection on the HIV estimatesAllAllf_Additional helpMarch 20, 2025282 KB94allallf_additional-help
95Measurement and monitoring HIV-related InequalitiesProvides guidance on measuring and monitoring HIV-related inequalities using HIV estimates and other available data sourcesAllAllf_Additional helpMarch 20, 2025985 KB95allallf_additional-help
96Selecting EPP vs. CSAVR given data strengths and weaknesses; Data requirements for robust incidence and mortality trendsProvides guidance on selecting EPP vs. CSAVR given data strengths and weaknesses, and discusses the data requirements for robust incidence and mortality trendsConcentrated-Using case surveillance data, Concentrated-Using key population survey dataCSAVR, EPP conc, Spectrum's AIM (AIDS Impact Model)c_Updating data and model estimates, f_Additional helpMarch 20, 2025715 KB96concentrated_using_case_surveillance_data concentrated_using_key_population_survey_datacsavr epp_conc spectrums_aim_aids_impact_modelc_updating-data-and-model-estimates f_additional-help

ID Number Guide

#D – User guide document

#A – AEM Model

#C – Concentrated epidemic

#S – CSAVR

#G – Generalized epidemic

#a – Complementary video

#AEM – AEM Model

#c – Concentrated epidemic

#CS – CSAVR

#g – Generalized epidemic

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